Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.005855 0.006196 0.006550 0.006945 0.007376 0.007832 0.008351
2026-01-11 0.005244 0.005733 0.006266 0.006891 0.007611 0.008417 0.009395
2026-01-18 0.004881 0.005453 0.006096 0.006878 0.007812 0.008902 0.010288
2026-01-25 0.004581 0.005203 0.005920 0.006815 0.007917 0.009250 0.011011
2026-02-01 0.004445 0.005126 0.005929 0.006957 0.008261 0.009891 0.012131
2026-02-08 0.004248 0.004959 0.005811 0.006927 0.008376 0.010237 0.012883
2026-02-15 0.004089 0.004826 0.005723 0.006921 0.008512 0.010610 0.013689
2026-02-22 0.003906 0.004651 0.005572 0.006819 0.008508 0.010786 0.014224
2026-03-01 0.003747 0.004498 0.005437 0.006728 0.008509 0.010961 0.014761
2026-03-08 0.003637 0.004402 0.005371 0.006722 0.008620 0.011292 0.015552
2026-03-15 0.003454 0.004204 0.005161 0.006510 0.008428 0.011171 0.015630
2026-03-22 0.003377 0.004140 0.005126 0.006534 0.008570 0.011544 0.016514
2026-03-29 0.003322 0.004105 0.005128 0.006612 0.008798 0.012063 0.017692
2026-04-05 0.003224 0.004008 0.005044 0.006562 0.008831 0.012285 0.018392
2026-04-12 0.003146 0.003936 0.004988 0.006549 0.008918 0.012594 0.019269
2026-04-19 0.003058 0.003846 0.004904 0.006491 0.008930 0.012780 0.019940
2026-04-26 0.003038 0.003848 0.004949 0.006623 0.009244 0.013481 0.021635
2026-05-03 0.002968 0.003778 0.004889 0.006595 0.009300 0.013752 0.022536
2026-05-10 0.002909 0.003722 0.004846 0.006589 0.009392 0.014087 0.023600
2026-05-17 0.002826 0.003630 0.004747 0.006494 0.009332 0.014151 0.024113
2026-05-24 0.002750 0.003546 0.004658 0.006410 0.009284 0.014231 0.024669
2026-05-31 0.002701 0.003498 0.004620 0.006404 0.009367 0.014553 0.025778
2026-06-07 0.002599 0.003373 0.004464 0.006206 0.009114 0.014240 0.025453